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Archives for 31 March 2008
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The Black Swan, Nassim Nicholas Taleb
subtitle: The Impact of the Highly Improbable I heard the author on Radio 4 and was intrigued with his central premise that there are wholly unpredictable random events which throw a spaner in the works and about how we often infer things that we ought not to. So I bought the book. The author has a website where you can find out more about him if you are interested. Synopsis This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underly our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're nearly impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalise them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', the Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything and take advantage of uncertainty. ISBN 9780141034591 Related articles A Conversation with Nassim Taleb
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Peas & Onions
Alexander and I spent some time in the garden on Saturday, for the first time in weeks it hasn't been either raining or frosty. We pottered around a bit, mostly playing with his little house and some time in the potting shed. Saturday Planting In the potting shed we took the eight chilli seedlings and put them in separate pots. Two went into a pot outside (the weakest two, I don't expect them to survive but thought that they ought to have some chance. They are in a pot with some broad beans planted in it (although no sign of the broad beans yet, the frost and snow has probably delayed them coming up). Two of the others, including the biggest one, were put into pots and then into a propagator in the potting shed. The weather forecast is pretty…